Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 159.069137 184.332659 213.557446 250.159395 295.190363 349.327789 4.201749e+02
2025-06-29 123.100438 153.866507 193.200238 248.245446 325.067964 431.312591 5.946790e+02
2025-07-06 103.656193 136.145447 180.552465 247.686003 350.378565 508.469554 7.856637e+02
2025-07-13 95.146093 130.368305 181.381887 264.016724 401.635714 636.638456 1.107889e+03
2025-07-20 89.417749 127.091483 184.502799 283.482770 461.928132 798.960648 1.574875e+03
2025-07-27 81.513250 119.125323 178.726810 286.645710 494.103884 920.545757 2.030055e+03
2025-08-03 75.867568 113.758187 176.028184 294.158825 535.914763 1077.151699 2.680692e+03
2025-08-10 69.952568 107.118882 170.065334 294.256158 562.489501 1210.370544 3.378029e+03
2025-08-17 65.485633 102.311760 166.514388 298.133866 598.130493 1381.631750 4.372182e+03
2025-08-24 60.939545 96.829610 160.953712 296.816003 621.447495 1531.284911 5.467661e+03
2025-08-31 57.105406 92.179079 156.306155 296.507791 647.206529 1701.811018 6.906632e+03
2025-09-07 54.663960 89.762975 155.575897 304.561905 697.041522 1978.217119 9.418788e+03
2025-09-14 49.296541 81.820306 143.778778 287.178574 677.803812 2024.343233 1.079100e+04
2025-09-21 45.984236 77.465003 138.777688 285.184135 703.607944 2266.447833 1.442639e+04
2025-09-28 43.184507 73.787080 134.668320 284.525566 733.667254 2554.682889 1.979610e+04
2025-10-05 42.346068 73.803911 138.287775 304.060027 836.727435 3284.267193 3.557566e+04
2025-10-12 41.766796 74.255458 142.897300 327.425936 965.711686 4337.606209 7.259402e+04
2025-10-19 39.846553 71.772616 140.589572 331.230645 1024.992446 5078.262360 1.225258e+05
2025-10-26 38.423051 70.178640 140.113392 340.277056 1110.882648 6169.719726 2.441667e+05
2025-11-02 36.592208 67.551959 136.872226 340.394334 1159.849292 7085.796065 4.567690e+05
2025-11-09 35.165388 65.666638 135.191913 345.068328 1233.289872 8417.914629 1.079939e+06
2025-11-16 33.530051 63.187486 131.763487 343.479476 1277.013835 9589.228005 2.591272e+06
2025-11-23 32.085365 61.014033 128.862715 343.107942 1328.140282 11037.769154 8.467775e+06